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Teleconnections (NAO/AO/PNA) were broken. Beginning with the morning update on November 28 they should be accurate. Please let me know if issues persist.

Experimental ENSOCast Model v2: click here and associated blog post here.

ENSOCast v2: SST 3.4 Monthly Forecasts | Arctic Oscillation | North Atlantic Oscillation | Pacific/North American Pattern

Forecasts are run on the 4th day of every month around 4 a.m. ET (local time). This is a beta product that I made in my spare time. There are probably bugs.

Information about the model:


Below is a simple validation of the ENSOCast neural net tool. Black line is forecast at specified lead time. Shading is reality.